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Astronomers

Observe, research, and interpret astronomical phenomena to increase basic knowledge or apply such information to practical problems.

2,120 people do this job in the US. $128,820 a year.

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 65%
  • 15%
  • 20%
38%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
February 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 65% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 17 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop theories based on personal observations or on observations and theories of other astronomers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 23%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Analyze research data to determine its significance, using computers.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.22%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Develop instrumentation and software for astronomical observation and analysis.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.19%4.2 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work weeksStays with people
Study celestial phenomena, using a variety of ground-based and space-borne telescopes and scientific instruments.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.14%1 work day2.5 h to 2.5 work days6%Half by Sep 2027
Collaborate with other astronomers to carry out research projects.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Supervise students' research on celestial and astronomical phenomena.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h1.3 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Teach astronomy or astrophysics.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Present research findings at scientific conferences and in papers written for scientific journals.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%2.5 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Direct the operations of a planetarium.Done yearly or less by most who do it.2%2.5 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Develop and modify astronomy-related programs for public presentation.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 1%1 work day2.5 h to 4.2 work days5%Half by Dec 2027
Mentor graduate students and junior colleagues.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 1%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Measure radio, infrared, gamma, and x-ray emissions from extraterrestrial sources.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 1%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).