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Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

Build or repair equipment such as furnaces, kilns, cupolas, boilers, converters, ladles, soaking pits, and ovens, using refractory materials.

1,080 people do this job in the US. $61,290 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 10 tasks from .

TaskKind
Climb scaffolding, carrying hoses, and spray surfaces of cupolas with refractory mixtures, using spray equipment.Done daily by most who do it.32%3.3 h1.3 h to 7.5 hStays with people
Reline or repair ladles and pouring spouts with refractory clay, using trowels.Done daily by most who do it. 21%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Chip slag from linings of ladles or remove linings when beyond repair, using hammers and chisels.Done daily by most who do it. 12%1.3 h25 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Dry and bake new linings by placing inverted linings over burners, building fires in ladles, or by using blowtorches.Done daily by most who do it.11%2.5 h50 min to 5.8 hStays with people
Remove worn or damaged plastic block refractory linings of furnaces, using hand tools.Done more than monthly by most who do it.10%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Measure furnace walls to determine dimensions and cut required number of sheets from plastic block, using saws.Done more than monthly by most who do it.5%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Mix specified amounts of sand, clay, mortar powder, and water to form refractory clay or mortar, using shovels or mixing machines.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Spread mortar on stopper heads and rods, using trowels, and slide brick sleeves over rods to form refractory jackets.Done daily by most who do it.3%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Dump and tamp clay in molds, using tamping tools.Done more than weekly by most who do it.0.9%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Transfer clay structures to curing ovens, melting tanks, and drawing kilns, using forklifts.Done more than monthly by most who do it.0.5%33 min13 min to 50 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).