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Pipelayers

Lay pipe for storm or sanitation sewers, drains, and water mains. Perform any combination of the following tasks: grade trenches or culverts, position pipe, or seal joints.

33,050 people do this job in the US. $49,000 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Install or repair sanitary or stormwater sewer structures or pipe systems.Done daily by most who do it. 20%4.2 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Dig trenches to desired or required depths, by hand or using trenching tools.Done daily by most who do it. 15%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Lay out pipe routes, following written instructions or blueprints and coordinating layouts with supervisors.Done daily by most who do it. 12%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Operate mechanized equipment, such as pickup trucks, rollers, tandem dump trucks, front-end loaders, or backhoes.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Cover pipes with earth or other materials.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Grade or level trench bases, using tamping machines or hand tools.Done daily by most who do it. 7%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Train or supervise others in laying pipe.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Align and position pipes to prepare them for welding or sealing.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Install or use instruments such as lasers, grade rods, or transit levels.Done several times a day by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Connect pipe pieces and seal joints, using welding equipment, cement, or glue.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Cut pipes to required lengths.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Tap and drill holes into pipes to introduce auxiliary lines or devices.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.1 h25 min to 2.1 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).