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Log Graders and Scalers

Grade logs or estimate the marketable content or value of logs or pulpwood in sorting yards, millpond, log deck, or similar locations. Inspect logs for defects or measure logs to determine volume.

3,070 people do this job in the US. $46,330 a year.

now
6%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 6%
  • 0%
  • 94%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 6% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 6%. Today's estimate: 6%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 5% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 6% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 6% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Evaluate log characteristics and determine grades, using established criteria.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 19%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Measure felled logs or loads of pulpwood to calculate volume, weight, dimensions, and marketable value, using measuring devices and conversion tables.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 14%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Jab logs with metal ends of scale sticks, and inspect logs to ascertain characteristics or defects such as water damage, splits, knots, broken ends, rotten areas, twists, and curves.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 13%15 min8 min to 33 minStays with people
Record data about individual trees or load volumes into tally books or hand-held collection terminals.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 11%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Identify logs of substandard or special grade so that they can be returned to shippers, regraded, recut, or transferred for other processing.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%13 min7 min to 25 minStays with people
Paint identification marks of specified colors on logs to identify grades or species, using spray cans, or call out grades to log markers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%10 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Measure log lengths and mark boles for bucking into logs, according to specifications.Done daily by most who do it.6%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Arrange for hauling of logs to appropriate mill sites.Done more than weekly by most who do it.6%25 min13 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Drive to sawmills, wharfs, or skids to inspect logs or pulpwood.Done daily by most who do it.6%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Saw felled trees into lengths.Done more than weekly by most who do it.4%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Weigh log trucks before and after unloading, and record load weights and supplier identities.Done hourly or more by most who do it.3%10 min4 min to 17 minStays with people
Communicate with coworkers by signals to direct log movement.Done hourly or more by most who do it.2%4 min2 min to 13 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).