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Sociologists

Study human society and social behavior by examining the groups and social institutions that people form, as well as various social, religious, political, and business organizations. May study the behavior and interaction of groups, trace their origin and growth, and analyze the influence of group activities on individual members.

2,260 people do this job in the US. $106,030 a year.

now
1%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 65%
  • 12%
  • 22%
38%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
July 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 65% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 1%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 1% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Analyze and interpret data to increase the understanding of human social behavior.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Develop problem intervention procedures, using techniques such as interviews, consultations, role playing, and participant observation of group interactions.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 12%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Prepare publications and reports containing research findings.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028
Plan and conduct research to develop and test theories about societal issues such as crime, group relations, poverty, and aging.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 12%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 1.2 work months0%Half by Jun 2029
Develop approaches to the solution of groups' problems, based on research findings in sociology and related disciplines.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks2%Half by May 2028
Develop, implement, and evaluate methods of data collection, such as questionnaires or interviews.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Teach sociology.Done daily by most who do it. 8%3.3 h1.3 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Collect data about the attitudes, values, and behaviors of people in groups, using observation, interviews, and review of documents.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Write grants to obtain funding for research projects.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 7%1.3 work weeks1.7 work days to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Feb 2029
Direct work of statistical clerks, statisticians, and others who compile and evaluate research data.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Observe group interactions and role affiliations to collect data, identify problems, evaluate progress, and determine the need for additional change.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Collaborate with research workers in other disciplines.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 1%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).