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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse

Manually plant, cultivate, and harvest vegetables, fruits, nuts, horticultural specialties, and field crops. Use hand tools, such as shovels, trowels, hoes, tampers, pruning hooks, shears, and knives. Duties may include tilling soil and applying fertilizers; transplanting, weeding, thinning, or pruning crops; applying pesticides; or cleaning, grading, sorting, packing, and loading harvested products. May construct trellises, repair fences and farm buildings, or participate in irrigation activities.

265,500 people do this job in the US. $35,660 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 4%
  • 0%
  • 96%
2%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 4% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 4%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 4% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 4% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 27 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct and monitor the work of casual and seasonal help during planting and harvesting.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 18%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Participate in the inspection, grading, sorting, storage, and post-harvest treatment of crops.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Repair and maintain farm vehicles, implements, and mechanical equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Operate tractors, tractor-drawn machinery, and self-propelled machinery to plow, harrow and fertilize soil, or to plant, cultivate, spray and harvest crops.Done daily by most who do it. 9%2.1 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Sell and deliver plants and flowers to customers.Done more than monthly by most who do it.5%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Plant, spray, weed, fertilize, water, and prune plants, shrubs, and trees, using gardening tools.5%2.5 h38 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Harvest fruits and vegetables by hand.Done several times a day by most who do it. 5%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Load agricultural products into trucks, and drive trucks to market or storage facilities.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Repair farm buildings, fences, and other structures.Done more than yearly by most who do it.4%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Harvest plants, and transplant or pot and label them.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Clean work areas, and maintain grounds and landscaping.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Set up and operate irrigation equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 3%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).