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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)

Heating and cooling equipment, 47,000, 34% Americas. Read October 2, 2026 from the annual report for the period ending December 31, 2025, filed February 5, 2026. Ranked 11 of the 47 Industrials companies read so far, by the share within reach now.

Within reach now

18%

End of 2028

36%

Employees, annual report

47,000

Leading staffing pattern

Machinery Manufacturing (3331, 3332, 3334, and 3339 only)

Share of the working time within reach, long-run pace, four times in five

  • Now18%
  • End of 202730%
  • End of 202836%
  • End of 203038%

What changes for its people by the end of 2028, by its industries' figures

  • Stays with people 62%
  • Becomes checking a model's work 30%
  • Handed over with lighter checks 5%

The filing states one total and its regions, nothing by segment or kind of work, so the whole workforce takes the machinery pattern by description (c).

The figures on this page come from the company's own annual report and from BLS staffing patterns for its industries, never from a roster. They are estimates with a stated method. Nothing here says what the company will do: within reach is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.

What follows from the reading

Share of working time within reach of AI, on the long-run pace at four in five: 18% now, 30% at the end of 2027, 36% at the end of 2028, 38% at the end of 2030. By the patterns, the work is about 38% desk work, 16% people work and 47% body work. These are the site's industry estimates weighted by the shares below: estimates with a stated method and range, not a forecast of what the company will do. By the same patterns, at the end of 2028 about 62% of the working time stays with people (conversation, in-person and hands-on work), 30% becomes checking a model's work and 5% could be handed over with lighter checks, from the industries' own figures, not the company's roles.

Headcount

47,000 employees as of December 31, 2025 (stated). 34% in the Americas, 36% in Europe and 30% in Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa; no U.S. count, though about 3,800 U.S. production and maintenance employees are stated.

The filing: “As of December 31, 2025, we had approximately 47,000 employees worldwide, of which 34% are located in the Americas, 36% are located in Europe and 30% are located in Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa.”

The workforce as industry patterns

PatternShareReason, from the filing
Machinery Manufacturing (3331, 3332, 3334, and 3339 only)100%A maker of heating, air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment (Product 88% of revenue, Service 12%); the filing states nothing by segment or kind of work, so one pattern by description (c), the service business inside it.

What the filing says about the workforce: About 47,000 employees in more than 52 countries; 78% of about 3,800 U.S. production and maintenance employees under six collective bargaining agreements; about 16,500 employees in Europe represented by a European Works Council; recordable incident rate 0.35.

Companies read with the same leading pattern

Other companies whose largest staffing pattern is also Machinery Manufacturing (3331, 3332, 3334, and 3339 only), largest first, each read from its own annual report. Within reach now and at the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

What the filing says about AI

0 sentences in the filing name AI. The filing names AI in no sentence.

Its annual reports, year by year

Sentences naming AI in each annual report, counted by one rule, beside the median report in the Index that year. Each count links its filing. Every company, by year and sector

Headcount by filing year

As reported in each year's annual report, with the filing. A year marked not read had no figure the reading could take from the report's text.

PeriodEmployeesFiledFiling
2025-12-3147,0002026-02-0510-K
2024-12-3148,0002025-02-1110-K
2023-12-3153,0002024-02-0610-K
2022-12-3152,0002023-02-0710-K
2021-12-3158,0002022-02-0810-K
2020-12-3156,0002021-02-0910-K

Limits of this reading

Source: the company's annual report on EDGAR, accession 0001783180-26-000008, the filing. Read by Claude Fable 5.1 under rubric version 1, by the method. A company can write to info@stratussc.com to have its reading checked against its filing.

Questions about this company

How much of Carrier Global Corporation's working time is within reach of AI?
An estimated 18% now and 36% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five, from the workforce Carrier Global Corporation's own annual report describes and BLS staffing patterns for its industries, never from a roster. It is an estimate with a stated method. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings, and it says nothing about what the company will do.
How many people does Carrier Global Corporation employ?
47,000 as of December 31, 2025, as its annual report for the period ending December 31, 2025 states.
What kinds of work make up Carrier Global Corporation's workforce?
Read from its annual report as a blend of 1 industry staffing pattern, the largest Machinery Manufacturing (3331, 3332, 3334, and 3339 only); by those patterns the work is about 38% desk work, 16% people work and 47% body work. Each share has a one-sentence reason on this page that can be checked against the filing.
What does Carrier Global Corporation's annual report say about AI?
0 sentences in the filing name AI. Its annual reports for fiscal 2021 to 2025 name it in 1, 1, 1, 0 and 0 sentences, year by year. They are counted and quoted on this page, never judged: a count says how much a filing talks about AI, not what the company does with it.
How is this estimated?
Claude Fable 5.1 read the annual report under the Index's written rubric (version 1) on October 2, 2026: the stated headcount, the share in the U.S. when stated, and the workforce as a blend of industry staffing patterns. The estimates are the site's industry estimates weighted by those shares, from O*NET tasks with estimated lengths and METR's measurements of how long a task AI models can finish. A company can write to info@stratussc.com to have its reading checked against its filing.
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